The Pacific Innovation Forum for Climate and Environment (PIFCE) 1st - 3rd July, 2026

Brief overview

Earth Sciences New Zealand (ESNZ) is a public research organisation in Aotearoa New Zealand, formed through the merger of NIWA and GNS Science. ESNZ delivers nationally and internationally significant research and services across weather and hazard forecasting, climate modelling, seismic monitoring, greenhouse gas emissions, carbon uptake by forests and oceans, ocean and atmospheric science, and natural resource systems. By integrating environmental observations, advanced modelling, and emerging technologies, ESNZ supports evidence based decision making for governments, communities, and industries, helping to build resilience to climate change and natural hazards across New Zealand and the wider Pacific region.

Your organisation’s goals

Earth Sciences NZ delivers a comprehensive suite of climate and environmental services that support climate adaptation, mitigation, and sustainable environmental management. Core capabilities include high resolution climate reanalysis, improving understanding of past and present climate variability to inform risk assessment and adaptation planning. Through the CarbonWatch programme, ESNZ combines atmospheric measurements with advanced modelling to quantify sources and sinks of carbon dioxide and methane at urban, regional, and national scales. Our atmospheric measurement capability can be used to quantify facility scale emissions of methane from farms, wastewater treatment plants, and landfills.

ESNZ also leads innovation in emissions monitoring through FarmAI, which integrates on farm sensors, remote sensing, and machine learning to estimate methane emissions at farm scale in near real time, supporting low emissions agriculture. These services are complemented by long term environmental monitoring networks spanning weather, atmospheric composition, freshwater and ocean systems, and natural hazards.

In addition, ESNZ contributes to international satellite missions such as MethaneSAT, NASA’s OCO-2 and 3, (add others) strengthening global greenhouse gas monitoring and validation. Together, these integrated services provide robust, scalable, and science based information to support climate policy, reporting, and environmental stewardship in New Zealand and the Pacific.

Describe your innovation

ESNZ has developed an innovative capability to independently estimate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions using a combination of satellite based observations and targeted ground based atmospheric measurements. This “top down” approach, demonstrated in Aotearoa New Zealand through CarbonWatch, CarbonWatch-Urban, MethaneSAT, and FarmAI, enables emissions to be quantified directly from measured changes in atmospheric composition rather than relying solely on inventory based (bottom up) methods.

We propose extending this capability across Pacific Island Countries and Territories (PICTs) through close collaboration with regional partners. For PICTs, access to independent, observation based emissions information would directly support national reporting, evidence based policy development, and participation in international climate mechanisms. At the same time, expanding atmospheric measurements across the Pacific would improve scientific understanding of oceanic carbon uptake, a globally significant but poorly constrained component of the carbon cycle.

The innovation involves establishing a strategically designed network of ground based atmospheric observations across selected Pacific islands to calibrate and validate satellite data, which can then be scaled regionally using advanced modelling and machine learning techniques. To ensure technical feasibility, partner alignment, and long term value, ESNZ proposes a staged development pathway prior to full implementation. Initial activities include a trial deployment of a satellite validation instrument at a single representative site, alongside a desktop feasibility study to co develop the regional measurement strategy through engagement with Pacific partners and modelling studies. This staged approach reduces implementation risk, ensures the system is fit for purpose, and provides a robust foundation for scalable and sustainable regional deployment.

How is this solution is innovative?

This solution is highly innovative in its application of next generation satellite observations, targeted ground based measurements, and machine learning to deliver independent greenhouse gas emissions estimates in regions traditionally considered observationally challenging.

While top down atmospheric approaches are increasingly applied over well instrumented land areas, they have remained largely inaccessible to oceanic and small island regions such as the Pacific. Satellite measurements of GHGs over the ocean rely on specialised “glint mode” observations, which enhance signal strength using reflected sunlight but introduce additional uncertainty. ESNZ’s innovation lies in systematically reducing this uncertainty by integrating strategically located ground based measurements to validate and correct satellite data. By combining these corrected satellite observations with local measurements and modelling, the system delivers a hierarchical, multi scale emissions monitoring framework spanning individual islands to the wider Pacific region. The staged development approach further differentiates this solution, ensuring that observing strategies are technically robust, regionally relevant, and scalable before major investment.

Together, these elements represent a step change in the ability of PICTs to access high quality, independent, and policy relevant climate information.

How can the innovation be replicated and scaled up in other PICTs?

The innovation can be efficiently replicated and scaled across PICTs through a regional, partnership based approach. Rather than deploying costly observation infrastructure in every country, a limited number of strategically selected ground based measurement sites can be established to represent key island types, land uses, and climatic regimes. These sites anchor satellite observations, enabling emissions estimates to be scaled across the wider Pacific using modelling and machine learning techniques.

Replication will be supported through institutional partnerships with Pacific governments, regional organisations, and universities, ensuring local ownership and long term sustainability. The staged development pathway allows measurement strategies to be refined collaboratively before expansion, reducing technical and institutional risk.

Financing models may combine international climate finance, development assistance, and in kind contributions, supported by shared access to satellite data and regional infrastructure.

Capacity building is central to scaling, with targeted training in instrument operation, data analysis, and interpretation enabling Pacific partners to directly use emissions information for national reporting, planning, and climate policy.

How is the solution cost‑effective and affordable in the context of Pacific Island Countries and Territories (PICTs)?

At the scale of individual nations, fully independent greenhouse gas monitoring systems can be cost prohibitive. However, when implemented as a coordinated regional system using a staged deployment model, this solution becomes both cost effective and affordable for PICTs. By maximising the use of freely available or internationally funded satellite data, investments are focused on a small number of high value, strategically located ground based measurement sites.

Crucially, information gained from initial sites benefits the wider region. Measurements in one country improve emissions estimates and atmospheric understanding applicable to neighbouring regions, reducing duplication while increasing scientific value. The staged approach ensures that resources are directed only toward measurement configurations that demonstrably deliver value.

For end users such as local governments and communities, the system provides accessible, policy relevant information without requiring extensive national infrastructure. Through regional cooperation and incremental deployment, PICTs gain access to high quality emissions information that would otherwise be unattainable, supporting climate accountability and resilience in an affordable and sustainable manner.

Locations (country, island, or community) where this solution has been piloted and/or implemented

New Zealand, in various components, not in its entirety as in this proposal